Tech5 min readGizmodo

Labubus Might Be Labu-Bust After Pop Mart Posts Record Share Loss

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Labubus Might Be Labu-Bust After Pop Mart Posts Record Share Loss

Foto: Pop Mart, the company behind Labubu, is in bad shape. © Pop Mart

Shares of Pop Mart have recorded a record decline of over 10%, which may signal a swift end to the global obsession with Labubu figures. The character with the distinctive, toothy grin, which became a pop culture phenomenon and an icon of the designer toy fashion trend, is beginning to follow the path once trodden by Beanie Babies or Tickle-Me Elmo. Although demand for these vinyl toys recently drove secondary market prices to absurd levels, the current stock market situation suggests that the collector bubble is bursting. For users and collectors worldwide, this is a clear signal that Labubu is losing its status as a safe capital investment. The practical implications are obvious: the secondary market will likely be flooded with resale offers, drastically lowering the value of previously rare editions. This phenomenon demonstrates how short-lived the life cycle of trends driven by social media and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) can be. Instead of an exclusive luxury item, Labubu is becoming another reminder that in the world of creative technologies and modern collecting, hype can evaporate as quickly as it appeared. Pop Mart must now prove it can maintain interest in the brand without relying solely on a single viral product.

The collectible toy market is governed by laws that more closely resemble a speculative stock exchange than traditional retail. The industry's history is filled with cases of sudden surges and painful collapses—from the Cabbage Patch Kids craze to the Beanie Babies phenomenon and the hysterical search for Tickle-Me Elmo. Each of these trends followed an almost identical trajectory: an explosion in popularity, a drastic increase in secondary market value, chronic shortages on shelves, and finally—an inevitable and quiet fading of interest. Today, everything indicates that Labubu is joining this pantheon of passing icons.

The situation surrounding the Pop Mart brand, creator of the hit "blind box" figure series, is becoming critical. Investors who until recently saw the Chinese giant as a money-making machine are now withdrawing capital en masse. The scale of the phenomenon is staggering—in just the last few months, the company's market value has melted by more than $30 billion. This is not a simple stock market correction; it is a signal that a business model based on artificial scarcity and viral social media marketing has just hit a wall of reality.

The mechanism of a bursting collectible bubble

When Labubu—a character with characteristic sharp teeth and a mischievous gaze—debuted in the Pop Mart catalog, it quickly became a status symbol among younger generations of consumers. The sales model based on "blind boxes," where the buyer does not know which specific figure they will find inside, perfectly tapped into psychological mechanisms similar to gambling. Collectors spent fortunes trying to complete rare editions, driving prices on resale platforms to absurd levels. However, what builds value during the growth phase becomes the greatest liability at the moment of market saturation.

Labubu figures in a Pop Mart store
The characteristic Labubu figures became the foundation of Pop Mart's power, which is currently losing billions of dollars in valuation.

Market analysts point out that Pop Mart relied too heavily on a single scheme. Once the secondary market was flooded with thousands of figures and the novelty effect began to fade, consumers started looking for the next "big hit." The $30 billion drop in company value suggests that investors have stopped believing in the brand's ability to maintain long-term interest in Labubu. It is a classic scenario where supply eventually catches up with, and then drastically exceeds, emotional demand, leaving collectors with items that lose value day by day.

Global consequences of losing investor confidence

The crash of Pop Mart's valuation has repercussions extending beyond the Labubu brand itself. The entire designer toy and "art toys" sector is now facing questions about the sustainability of its business models. Pop Mart's strategy was based on building a global presence in prestigious locations, which requires constant sales growth given the high operating costs. With such a drastic loss of capitalization, the company's ability to further expand and finance new licenses is in question. Investors are beginning to see Labubu not as a lasting asset, but as a high-risk asset.

Details of a Labubu figure
Labubu's specific design attracted millions of fans, but visual uniqueness did not protect the brand from a sharp decline in interest.

It is worth noting that the problem is not the product itself, but its life cycle, which was artificially accelerated by social media and algorithms promoting trends. In the analog world, the popularity of Beanie Babies lasted for years; in the digital era, Labubu went from the peak to a sharp decline in a much shorter time. Pop Mart must now face the fact that their flagship product has become a victim of its own success—it became too common to still be considered exclusive, and too expensive to produce to compete in the mass toy segment.

Will Labubu survive market verification?

Looking at the financial data, it is difficult to be optimistic. The loss of $30 billion in market value is a clear signal that the market has corrected expectations regarding Pop Mart's future profits. The company is trying to save the situation by introducing new characters and collaborations, but none of them have yet reached the scale of the Labubu phenomenon. Collectors, seeing falling prices at auctions, are becoming more cautious, further fueling the downward spiral. This is a phenomenon of "material fatigue" that affects every brand based solely on hype.

From the Pixelift editorial perspective, the Pop Mart case is a lesson for the entire creative and technological industry. Building a company's value on a single, viral product is a short-sighted strategy. While Labubu will likely not disappear from the market entirely, its role as a financial locomotive has come to an end. The industry must prepare for a return to more sustainable sales models, where a product's value stems from its durability and actual utility, rather than just a passing fad driven by collector fever.

One could argue that the era of "blind box" dominance in its current form is ending. Pop Mart will have to undergo deep restructuring and likely change the way it communicates with the market to regain even a fraction of the lost trust. For the rest of the technology and design world, the fall of Labubu is a reminder that in speculative markets, the only constant is change, and a massive valuation can evaporate just as quickly as it appeared once emotions give way to cold economic calculation.

Source: Gizmodo
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